From c0d352dd0f66b47ee91fb96eaf320f895fa78790 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Prefetch Date: Sun, 14 Nov 2021 17:54:04 +0100 Subject: Expand knowledge base --- content/know/concept/martingale/index.pdc | 8 ++++++++ 1 file changed, 8 insertions(+) (limited to 'content/know/concept/martingale') diff --git a/content/know/concept/martingale/index.pdc b/content/know/concept/martingale/index.pdc index 21fa918..41c2709 100644 --- a/content/know/concept/martingale/index.pdc +++ b/content/know/concept/martingale/index.pdc @@ -37,6 +37,14 @@ Accordingly, the [Wiener process](/know/concept/wiener-process/) $B_t$ (Brownian motion) is an example of a martingale, since each of its increments $B_t \!-\! B_s$ has mean $0$ by definition. +Martingales are easily confused with +[Markov processes](/know/concept/markov-process/), +because stochastic processes will often be both, +e.g. the Wiener process. +However, these are distinct concepts: +the martingale property says nothing about history-dependence, +and the Markov property does not say *what* the future expectation should be. + Modifying property (3) leads to two common generalizations. The stochastic process $M_t$ above is a **submartingale** if the current value is a lower bound for the expectation: -- cgit v1.2.3